165 -- Joining Lister as "those most likely not to be in the NCAA semifinals" is Oklahoma freshman Tyler Caldwell (31-12), a native of Wichita, Kan. Caldwell beat ODU's Chris Brown in the quarterfinals thanks to a riding time point. Caldwell will be a monster underdog against 2009 finalist Andrew Howe, a sophomore for Wisconsin who is 35-0.
The bottom half has a pair of veterans in Dan Vallimont (30-7) of Penn State against 2009 champion Jarrod King (37-1) of Edinboro. Could it be another King-Howe final?